BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20250927T180817EDT-4439rc5Uvv@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20250927T220817Z DESCRIPTION:Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Departmental Seminar Series\n \npresents\n\nAn Estimate of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity From Interann ual Variability\n\na talk by\n Andy Dessler\n Professor\, \n Department of At mospheric Sciences\, Texas A&M University\, Texas\n\nEquilibrium climate s ensitivity (ECS) is the amount of equilibrium warming resulting from doubl ing carbon dioxide. It is one of the important metrics in climate science because it is a primary determinant of how much warming we will experience in the future. Despite decades of work\, this quantity remains uncertain: the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report stated a range for ECS of 1.5–4.5 °C. In this talk\, I will review the different ways we can estimate ECS from observations and describe a new approach using obser vations of interannual climate variations covering the period 2000 to 2017 . That method suggests that ECS is likely 2.4–4.6 K. Thus\, our analysis p rovides no support for the bottom of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climat e Change’s range.\n\nMonday Sep 09/ 3:30 PM/ Burnside Hall/ Room 934\n DTSTART:20190909T193000Z DTEND:20190909T210000Z LOCATION:Room 934 SUMMARY:An Estimate of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity From Interannual Var iability URL:/meteo/channels/event/estimate-equilibrium-climate -sensitivity-interannual-variability-299619 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR